House Prediction
Model Margin
Illinois by 2.8
Home Win Probability
Michigan State 38%
No market line posted for this game.
fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2026
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Illinois | 10 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 38 |
 Michigan State | 0 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 37 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Illinois | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 26-37 | 23-27 |
| Pass Yards | 282 | 215 |
| Rush Yards | 127 | 127 |
| Total Yards | 409 | 342 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 5-12 | 6-10 |
| Penalties | 2-16 | 9-69 |
| Possession | 33:52 | 26:08 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at ILL30, for 6 yards to the ILL31 (#4 C.Brantley), out of bounds
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ILL37 (#5 J.Hall), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete deep left to #13 H.Clement caught at MSU38, for 39 yards to the MSU24 (#2 D.Vaught), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU23 (#5 J.Hall; #55 B.Roberts)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU21 (#45 B.Pretzlaff)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep left to #10 T.Robinson thrown to MSU00 QB hurried by #1 K.Soares, Jr.
#37 E.Moczulski field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 11:46
#11 A.Milivojevic sacked for loss of 5 yards to the MSU20 (#10 J.Kreutz)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short middle to #31 J.Savoury caught at MSU25, for 6 yards to the MSU26 (#26 I.Kante; #1 X.Scott)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short right to #17 B.Collier thrown to MSU36
#9 R.Dakin punt 74 yards to the ILL00, Touchback
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short left to #17 C.Dixon thrown to ILL35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (#3 T.Bell) 13 yards from ILL20 to ILL33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at ILL28, for 11 yards to the ILL44 (#4 C.Brantley), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL48 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.; #3 T.Bell)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #83 K.Feagin caught at ILL50, for 8 yards to the MSU44 (#18 D.Crawford), 1ST DOWN
#21 A.Laughery rush left for 0 yards to the MSU44 (#4 C.Brantley; #5 J.Hall)
#4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #83 K.Feagin caught at MSU45, for 3 yards to the MSU41 (#5 J.Hall; #11 A.Lafaele)
Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU36 (#18 D.Crawford; #1 K.Soares, Jr.)
#4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at MSU37, for 3 yards to the MSU33 (#12 C.Stodghill), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the MSU35 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.; #55 B.Roberts)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #11 B.Trimble caught at MSU16, for 27 yards to the MSU08 (#21 N.Martinez; #45 B.Pretzlaff), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU05 (#18 D.Crawford; #12 C.Stodghill)
#4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at MSU05, for 5 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:21 #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
#4 J.Patterson rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU25 (#54 D.John; #10 J.Kreutz)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #3 R.Bullard Jr. caught at MSU34, for 9 yards to the MSU34, out of bounds at MSU34
#4 J.Patterson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the MSU32 (#26 I.Kante)
#9 R.Dakin punt 55 yards to the ILL13 fair catch by #0 M.Resetich at ILL13 PENALTY MSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ILL13 to ILL18
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #10 T.Robinson thrown to ILL16
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL23, for 5 yards to the ILL23 (#4 C.Brantley; #21 N.Martinez)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short middle to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL31, for 8 yards to the ILL31 (#7 M.Richard; #11 A.Lafaele), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #24 J.Barnett rush right for 15 yards gain to the ILL46 (#2 D.Vaught), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #24 J.Barnett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MSU47 (#12 C.Stodghill; #21 N.Martinez)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MSU41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep right to #13 H.Clement thrown to MSU01
Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU36 (#12 C.Stodghill)
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush right for 11 yards gain to the MSU25 (#21 N.Martinez; #12 C.Stodghill), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short middle to #83 K.Feagin caught at MSU15, for 12 yards to the MSU13 (#21 N.Martinez; #4 C.Brantley), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU09 (#96 E.Coenen; #98 D.Simmons)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at MSU06, for 5 yards to the MSU04 (#3 T.Bell)
No Huddle #4 K.Houser rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU02 (#9 K.Thompson; #10 D.Malone), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:57 #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU28 (#43 J.Barna)
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MSU37 (#10 J.Kreutz), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete deep right to #19 C.Taplin thrown to ILL30
#11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #31 J.Savoury caught at MSU42, for 16 yards to the ILL47 (#1 X.Scott), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #32 K.Williams rush right for 2 yards gain to the ILL45 (#18 M.Muragin)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #3 R.Bullard Jr. caught at ILL32, for 15 yards to the ILL30 (#16 T.Heckel; #0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #4 J.Patterson caught at ILL26, for 13 yards to the ILL17 (#10 J.Kreutz; #26 I.Kante), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #12 C.Gulker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ILL14 (#10 J.Kreutz)
#4 J.Patterson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ILL09 (#0 M.Resetich; #33 G.Beerman)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ILL06 (#40 E.Rhea), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #4 J.Patterson caught at ILL06, for 6 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:29 #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #11 B.Trimble caught at ILL25, for 16 yards to the ILL41 (#12 C.Stodghill), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL42 (#18 D.Crawford; #55 B.Roberts)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL38, for 5 yards to the ILL47, out of bounds at ILL47
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #10 T.Robinson caught at MSU48, for 5 yards to the MSU48 (#2 D.Vaught), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #11 B.Trimble caught at MSU44, for 7 yards to the MSU41 (#12 C.Stodghill), out of bounds
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at MSU37, for 6 yards to the MSU35 (#3 T.Bell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MSU26 fumbled by #21 A.Laughery at MSU25 forced by #21 N.Martinez recovered by ILL #59 J.Renfro at MSU26, End Of Play
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #80 E.Kasper caught at MSU27, for 7 yards to the MSU19 (#7 M.Richard), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short left to #21 A.Laughery thrown to MSU00
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush left for 2 yards gain to the MSU17 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #13 H.Clement thrown to MSU05 QB hurried by #11 A.Lafaele and #18 D.Crawford
Ethan Moczulski 35 Yd Field Goal
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #13 C.McCray caught at MSU18, for 14 yards to the MSU39 (#26 I.Kante; #16 T.Heckel), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #13 C.McCray caught at MSU36, for 2 yards to the MSU41 (#52 P.Farrell)
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU44 (#26 I.Kante)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #3 R.Bullard Jr. caught at ILL46, for 12 yards to the ILL44 (#10 J.Kreutz), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #4 J.Patterson caught at ILL41, for 5 yards to the ILL39 (#5 J.Morris; #10 J.Kreutz) PENALTY MSU Holding (#75 B.Murawski) 10 yards from ILL44 to MSU46. NO PLAY
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #82 B.Parachek caught at MSU47, for 4 yards to the MSU50 fumbled by #82 B.Parachek at MSU48 forced by #6 J.Clarke recovered by ILL #4 D.Brown at MSU50, End Of Play
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at MSU45, for 5 yards to the MSU45, out of bounds at MSU45
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU40 (#12 C.Stodghill), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU38 (#12 C.Stodghill; #10 D.Malone)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at MSU33, for 11 yards to the MSU27 (#24 J.Favorite; #12 C.Stodghill), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short left to #21 A.Laughery thrown to MSU15 QB hurried by #98 D.Simmons and #7 M.Richard
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 7 yards gain to the MSU20 (#2 D.Vaught)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short left to #17 C.Dixon thrown to MSU13 broken up by #24 J.Favorite
#37 E.Moczulski field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 08:48
Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU14 (#96 D.Prater; #24 W.Holmes)
#11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #31 J.Savoury caught at MSU23, for 12 yards to the MSU26 (#26 I.Kante; #10 J.Kreutz), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 36 yards gain to the ILL38 (#10 J.Kreutz; #5 J.Morris), 1ST DOWN
#4 J.Patterson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ILL35 (#24 W.Holmes)
#11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #13 C.McCray caught at ILL34, for 2 yards to the ILL33 (#6 J.Clarke)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #21 M.Parrish caught at ILL36, for 6 yards to the ILL27 (#10 J.Kreutz), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short middle to #31 J.Savoury caught at ILL28, for 4 yards to the ILL23 (#16 T.Heckel)
Shotgun #12 C.Gulker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL19 (#7 M.Bailey)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short right to #31 J.Savoury thrown to ILL10
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #6 F.Moore caught at ILL16, for 13 yards to the ILL06 (#16 T.Heckel) PENALTY MSU Illegal Formation (#6 F.Moore) 5 yards from ILL19 to ILL24. NO PLAY
#37 L.Boyd field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky), clock 02:52
#37 L.Boyd kickoff 64 yards to the ILL01 #0 M.Resetich return 24 yards to the ILL25 fumbled by #0 M.Resetich at ILL25 forced by #17 B.Collier recovered by ILL #0 M.Resetich at ILL25, End Of Play
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #17 C.Dixon thrown to ILL36 QB hurried by #55 B.Roberts
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ILL30 (#9 K.Thompson; #4 C.Brantley)
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass intercepted by #2 D.Vaught at ILL48 QB hurried by #52 M.Beeler #2 D.Vaught return 37 yards to the ILL11 (#4 K.Houser)
#4 J.Patterson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:30, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky)
Shotgun #24 J.Barnett rush middle for 0 yards to the ILL25 (#55 B.Roberts)
Shotgun #7 M.Clayton II pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL33, for 14 yards to the ILL39 (#4 C.Brantley), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #7 M.Clayton II pass incomplete short right to #83 K.Feagin thrown to ILL35 broken up by #7 M.Richard
Shotgun #7 M.Clayton II pass complete short left to #13 H.Clement caught at ILL45, for 24 yards to the MSU37 (#21 N.Martinez), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU35 (#24 J.Favorite)
Shotgun #2 C.Boyd rush left for 7 yards gain to the MSU28 (#2 D.Vaught), out of bounds PENALTY MSU Face Mask (#24 J.Favorite) 14 yards from MSU28 to MSU14, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #7 M.Clayton II pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at MSU05, for 14 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:14, 1ST DOWN #7 M.Clayton II pass attempt failed #7 M.Clayton II pass attempt failed PENALTY #7 M.Clayton II pass attempt failed PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (#21 N.Martinez) 1 yard from MSU03 to MSU02. NO PLAY #7 M.Clayton II pass attempt failed PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (#21 N.Martinez) 2 yards from MSU03 to MSU01. NO PLAY #21 A.Laughery rush attempt Successful
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU32 (#10 J.Kreutz)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short middle to #31 J.Savoury caught at MSU34, for 4 yards to the MSU36 (#10 J.Kreutz; #26 I.Kante)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #31 J.Savoury caught at MSU40, for 7 yards to the MSU43, out of bounds at MSU43, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #4 J.Patterson caught at MSU47, for 7 yards to the MSU50 (#7 M.Bailey), out of bounds
Shotgun #13 C.McCray rush right for 5 yards gain to the ILL45 (#7 M.Bailey; #54 D.John), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ILL40 (#10 J.Kreutz)
#4 J.Patterson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ILL37 (#43 J.Barna)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short middle to #13 C.McCray thrown to ILL20 QB hurried by #43 J.Barna and #90 C.Janki
PENALTY MSU False Start (#75 B.Murawski) 5 yards from ILL37 to ILL42. NO PLAY
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #6 F.Moore caught at ILL29, for 18 yards to the ILL24 (#5 J.Morris), 1ST DOWN
Fredrick Moore 24 Yd pass from Alessio Milivojevic (Liam Boyd Kick)
#37 L.Boyd onside kickoff 18 yards to the ILL47 PENALTY MSU Offside (#5 S.Gash) 5 yards from MSU35 to MSU30. NO PLAY
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 6 yards gain to the ILL19 (#7 M.Richard)
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ILL22 (#55 B.Roberts; #1 K.Soares, Jr.)
Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ILL24 (#21 N.Martinez), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush right for 2 yards gain to the ILL26 (#29 K.Deriso; #12 C.Stodghill)
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ILL28 (#55 B.Roberts; #10 D.Malone)
Shotgun #7 M.Clayton II pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at ILL31, for 5 yards to the ILL33 (#29 K.Deriso)
#7 M.Clayton II rush middle for 0 yards to the ILL33 (#10 D.Malone; #55 B.Roberts), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL30 (#16 T.Heckel), out of bounds
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL27 (#10 J.Kreutz; #18 M.Muragin)
Shotgun #12 C.Gulker pass complete short right to #14 B.Williams caught at ILL19, for 27 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:08, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Illegal Block in Back (#6 F.Moore) 10 yards from ILL08 to ILL18
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #13 C.McCray caught at ILL20, for 5 yards to the ILL13 (#16 T.Heckel; #7 M.Bailey)
#3 R.Bullard Jr. rush left for 11 yards gain to the ILL02 fumbled by #3 R.Bullard Jr. at ILL03 forced by #43 J.Barna recovered by MSU #31 J.Savoury at ILL02, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:17 #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky)
Shotgun #7 M.Clayton II pass complete short middle to #11 B.Trimble caught at ILL31, for 6 yards to the ILL31 (#7 M.Richard; #21 N.Martinez)
PENALTY ILL False Start (#71 N.Knapik) 5 yards from ILL31 to ILL26. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL27 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Clayton II pass incomplete short middle to #11 B.Trimble thrown to ILL42
#81 L.Rau punt 44 yards to the MSU29 #13 C.McCray return 5 yards to the MSU34 (#10 J.Kreutz)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MSU33 (#4 D.Brown)
End of 4th quarter.
Shotgun #7 M.Clayton II pass complete short left to #13 H.Clement caught at MSU13, for 25 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWN #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
#13 C.McCray rush left for 10 yards gain to the ILL15 (#16 T.Heckel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
#11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #3 R.Bullard Jr. caught at ILL17, for 0 yards to the ILL15 (#16 T.Heckel)
#4 J.Patterson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL11 (#26 I.Kante; #10 J.Kreutz)
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #13 C.McCray caught at ILL08, for 10 yards to the ILL01 (#0 M.Resetich; #1 X.Scott), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00 #11 A.Milivojevic pass attempt failed