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← Back to GamesOct 17, 2026 • Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Duke by 10

Home Win Probability

Duke 71%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2026

Line Movement

-2.3-4.4-6.5-8.6-10.7Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 17Model -10

Hover a snapshot for details

BovadaDraftKings

O/U 47.5 → 46.5

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
1070724
DukeDuke
0731020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-177-1710-1713-1720-24
DukeNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCDUKNCDUKNCDUKNCNCDUKNCDUKDUKNCDUKNCDUKNCDUKNCDUKNCFG11p·74ydPUNT3p·4ydTD3p·11ydPUNT3p·8ydTD14p·63ydDOWNS8p·73ydTD3p·7ydPUNT5p·10ydPUNT4p·28ydPUNT6p·12ydEND7p·39ydFG19p·62ydTO6p·66ydPUNT6p·32ydPUNT3p·-6ydFG9p·32ydDOWNS5p·9ydTD5p·34ydTD8p·78ydTO9p·41ydEND1p·-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and Duke
StatisticNorth CarolinaDuke
Passing15-2524-41
Pass Yards191249
Rush Yards135124
Total Yards326373
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-128-18
Penalties6-658-67
Possession28:3731:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Billy Edwards
15/25, 191 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jaylen McGill
12 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Shipp
7 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Duke
passing
Walker Eget
24/38, 249 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nate Sheppard
20 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Nate Sheppard
11 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.02

(14:54) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #2 T.Kekahuna caught at UNC27, for 26 yards to the UNC42 (#35 A.Pellicciotta; #8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.15

(14:16) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #45 J.Thurman caught at UNC44, for 14 yards to the DUKE44 (#1 K.Loud; #34 L.Mergott), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

(13:40) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 4 yards gain to the DUKE40 (#42 K.Johnson; #95 P.Watson)

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

(13:09) Shotgun #7 B.Hall rush left for 6 yards gain to the DUKE34 (#0 D.Flowers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

(12:29) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. rush right for 12 yards gain to the DUKE22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

(11:45) Shotgun #7 B.Hall rush right for 1 yard gain to the DUKE21 (#1 K.Loud)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.43

(11:14) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at DUKE16, for 9 yards to the DUKE12 (#34 L.Mergott; #0 D.Flowers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

(10:43) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUKE10 (#95 P.Watson; #42 K.Johnson)

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

(10:18) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short right thrown to DUKE02 QB hurried by #10 T.Reed

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

(10:11) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to DUKE03

4th & 8Field Goal Good+28 yds

(10:05) #90 R.Verhoff field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt), clock 10:03

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DUKE16, for 2 yards to the DUKE20 (#21 K.Dopson III; #91 L.Jackson)

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 2 yards gain to the DUKE22 (#7 P.Waters)

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

(08:53) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete deep middle to #6 J.Burton thrown to DUKE45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

(08:48) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 0 yards to the DUKE22 blocked by #12 C.Thomas recovered by UNC #30 J.Hart at DUKE11, End Of Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

(08:42) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush right for 5 yards gain to the DUKE06 (#34 L.Mergott; #95 P.Watson)

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

(08:00) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush left for 1 yard gain to the DUKE05 (#35 A.Pellicciotta)

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

(07:25) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #1 J.Shipp caught at DUKE00, for 5 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:21, 1ST DOWN #90 R.Verhoff kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

(07:17) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 8 yards gain to the DUKE25 (#18 J.Patterson), out of bounds

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

(06:38) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #20 N.Sheppard thrown to DUKE23 QB hurried by #90 X.Lewis

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

(06:34) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Solomon thrown to DUKE36 broken up by #18 J.Patterson

4th & 2Punt0 yds

(06:30) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 38 yards to the UNC37, out of bounds at UNC37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

(06:23) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC43 (#8 D.Stone)

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

(05:47) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNC49 (#2 P.Smith-Young), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

(05:09) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short left to #84 S.Easter thrown to DUKE45

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.47

(05:04) No Huddle #27 J.McGill rush left for 3 yards loss to the UNC46 (#5 K.Robinson; #95 P.Watson)

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.43

(04:40) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #1 J.Shipp caught at DUKE38, for 16 yards to the DUKE38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

(04:06) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the DUKE35, out of bounds at DUKE35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

(03:29) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 5 yards gain to the DUKE30 (#35 A.Pellicciotta)

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.58

(02:52) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 6 yards gain to the DUKE24 (#10 T.Reed; #8 D.Stone), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

(02:15) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUKE23 (#7 N.Morris Jr.)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at DUKE14, for 11 yards to the DUKE12 (#1 K.Loud), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

(00:47) Shotgun #5 K.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUKE11 (#7 N.Morris Jr.; #34 L.Mergott)

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

(00:10) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at DUKE09, for 5 yards to the DUKE06 (#12 B.Davis) PENALTY UNC Holding (#56 C.Kelly) 10 yards from DUKE11 to DUKE21. NO PLAY

2nd & 19Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.77

(15:00) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #45 J.Thurman caught at DUKE08, for 14 yards to the DUKE07, End Of Play

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the DUKE04 (#5 K.Robinson)

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.89

(13:49) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 4 yards gain to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:43, 1ST DOWN #90 R.Verhoff kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

(13:43) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the DUKE28 (#15 D.McDonald; #1 G.Smith III)

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(13:07) PENALTY DUKE False Start (#8 J.Moore) 5 yards from DUKE28 to DUKE23. NO PLAY

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

(12:55) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the DUKE28 (#91 L.Jackson; #90 X.Lewis)

3rd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.52

(12:16) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #6 J.Burton caught at DUKE39, for 28 yards to the UNC44 (#24 J.Butts), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.89

(11:50) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush left for 33 yards gain to the UNC11 (#1 G.Smith III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

(11:05) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNC12 (#96 N.Maggio)

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

(10:26) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #15 J.Taylor thrown to UNC08 broken up by #15 D.McDonald

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Campbell Jr. thrown to UNC11 PENALTY UNC Offside (#90 X.Lewis) 5 yards from UNC12 to UNC07. NO PLAY

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

(10:19) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #85 J.Hasley caught at UNC09, for 5 yards to the UNC02 (#1 G.Smith III)

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -9.99

(09:41) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the UNC02 (#1 G.Smith III), TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

(09:36) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short left to #45 J.Thurman thrown to UNC17 QB hurried by #7 N.Morris Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

(09:29) #0 D.June rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC05 (#7 N.Morris Jr.; #34 L.Mergott)

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 yds

(08:45) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC10, for 4 yards to the UNC09 fumbled by #1 J.Shipp at UNC08 forced by #1 K.Loud recovered by DUKE #35 A.Pellicciotta at UNC09 #35 A.Pellicciotta return 9 yards to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:37. The previous play is under automatic review - "Loose ball recovery". CALL UPHELD #25 G.Strange kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #52 J.Fitzgerald)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

(08:37) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #14 C.Sadler caught at UNC21, for 7 yards to the UNC32 (#2 P.Smith-Young)

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

(08:01) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC37 (#42 K.Johnson; #44 D.Anderson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

(07:26) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short middle to #45 J.Thurman thrown to UNC46

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

(07:22) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNC41 (#10 T.Reed)

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.97

(07:00) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNC35 (#15 K.O'Connor)

4th & 12Punt0 yds

(06:16) #92 A.Burrell punt 40 yards to the DUKE25, out of bounds at DUKE25

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

(06:09) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DUKE18, for 23 yards to the DUKE48 (#21 K.Dopson III; #15 D.McDonald), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

(05:26) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DUKE48, for 3 yards to the UNC49 (#8 J.Agumadu)

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

(04:47) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNC47 (#24 J.Butts)

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

(04:08) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short middle to #85 J.Hasley thrown to UNC45 broken up by #1 G.Smith III

4th & 5Punt0 yds

(04:06) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 37 yards to the UNC10 fair catch by #2 T.Kekahuna at UNC10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

(03:57) Shotgun #0 D.June rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNC13 (#18 K.Smith; #7 N.Morris Jr.)

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

(03:18) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC19 (#24 B.Gompers; #95 P.Watson). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (03:18) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNC20 (#24 B.Gompers; #95 P.Watson), 1ST DOWN)

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

(02:36) #9 B.Edwards Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC21 (#95 P.Watson; #55 J.Columbus), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(02:02) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC37, for 19 yards to the UNC40 (#9 C.Ojarikre), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Holding (#56 C.Kelly) 10 yards from UNC21 to UNC11. NO PLAY

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.13

(01:57) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UNC09 (#95 P.Watson)

2nd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

(01:52) Shotgun #0 D.June rush right for 7 yards gain to the UNC16 (#35 A.Pellicciotta)

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

(01:46) Shotgun #0 D.June rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNC22 (#7 N.Morris Jr.; #35 A.Pellicciotta)

4th & 9Punt0 yds

(01:02) #92 A.Burrell punt 43 yards to the DUKE35, out of bounds at DUKE35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DUKE36, for 6 yards to the DUKE41 (#10 P.Seelmann; #9 M.Abou Jaoude)

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.45

(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #7 K.Simmons caught at DUKE44, for 3 yards to the DUKE44 (#3 A.Willie), out of bounds

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.45

(00:28) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 6 yards gain to the DUKE50 (#10 P.Seelmann; #15 D.McDonald), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

(00:23) No Huddle #2 W.Eget pass incomplete, Spike

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

(00:20) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #8 J.Moore caught at UNC45, for 9 yards to the UNC41 (#10 P.Seelmann), out of bounds

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

(00:05) No Huddle #2 W.Eget pass incomplete, Spike

4th & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.33

(00:05) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short middle to #20 N.Sheppard caught at UNC38, for 15 yards to the UNC26 (#3 A.Willie), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

(15:00) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete deep middle to #6 J.Burton thrown to UNC35

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

(14:55) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUKE28 (#54 T.Hickman-Collins; #91 L.Jackson)

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

(14:11) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #7 K.Simmons caught at DUKE29, for 9 yards to the DUKE37 (#21 K.Dopson III; #10 P.Seelmann), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

(13:28) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DUKE35, for 3 yards to the DUKE40 (#10 P.Seelmann)

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

(12:53) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 3 yards gain to the DUKE43 (#16 C.Bryson)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.09

(12:16) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #17 J.Richardson caught at UNC49, for 8 yards to the UNC49, out of bounds at UNC49, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

(11:42) Shotgun #10 D.Mahan pass incomplete short right to #7 K.Simmons thrown to UNC40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

(11:42) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #20 N.Sheppard caught at DUKE43, for 11 yards to the UNC38 (#18 J.Patterson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

(11:01) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNC29 (#10 P.Seelmann; #16 C.Bryson)

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

(10:20) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNC27 (#10 P.Seelmann), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

(09:38) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #15 J.Taylor thrown to UNC24 QB hurried by #5 D.Hoilette

2nd & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.28

(09:33) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 5 yards gain (-8) to the UNC22 (#15 D.McDonald; #21 K.Dopson III) PENALTY DUKE Illegal Block in Back (#77 B.Miller) 10 yards from UNC27 to UNC37

2nd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

(09:12) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNC31 (#1 G.Smith III)

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.41

(08:38) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #5 J.Nicholas caught at UNC25, for 13 yards to the UNC18 (#18 J.Patterson), out of bounds. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (08:38) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #5 J.Nicholas caught at UNC25, for 14 yards to the UNC17 (#18 J.Patterson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN)

4th & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.37

(08:05) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 13 yards gain to the UNC05 (#1 G.Smith III), 1ST DOWN

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC05 (#10 P.Seelmann; #91 L.Jackson)

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

(07:09) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short left to #85 J.Hasley thrown to UNC00 broken up by #1 G.Smith III QB hurried by #10 P.Seelmann and #11 J.Harvey

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

(07:05) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Moore thrown to UNC00 broken up by #16 C.Bryson

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

(06:56) #25 G.Strange field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #52 J.Fitzgerald), clock 06:54

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

(06:52) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNC30 (#8 D.Stone)

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

(06:25) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC40, for 16 yards to the UNC46 (#1 K.Loud), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(05:40) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNC50 (#12 B.Davis) PENALTY UNC Holding (#60 C.Alvarez) 10 yards from UNC46 to UNC36. NO PLAY

1st & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.02

(05:16) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC47, for 14 yards to the UNC50 (#2 P.Smith-Young)

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

(04:40) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #84 S.Easter caught at DUKE44, for 15 yards to the DUKE35 (#24 B.Gompers; #2 P.Smith-Young), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

(04:16) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #45 J.Thurman caught at DUKE31, for 12 yards to the DUKE23 (#2 P.Smith-Young; #35 A.Pellicciotta), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY DUKE Personal Foul (#18 K.Smith) 12 yards from DUKE23 to DUKE11, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.66

(03:57) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUKE09 fumbled by #27 J.McGill at DUKE09 forced by #2 P.Smith-Young recovered by DUKE #2 P.Smith-Young at DUKE09, End Of Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

(03:45) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short left to #85 J.Hasley thrown to DUKE10 QB hurried by #97 T.Giddens

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

(03:40) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Moore thrown to DUKE09 broken up by #8 J.Agumadu

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.87

(03:37) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #17 J.Richardson caught at DUKE23, for 24 yards to the DUKE33 (#23 K.Dunbar-Hawkins; #54 T.Hickman-Collins), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

(02:54) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 7 yards gain to the DUKE40 (#21 K.Dopson III; #1 G.Smith III)

2nd & 3Penalty+10 yds

(02:14) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 14 yards gain to the UNC46 (#90 X.Lewis) PENALTY DUKE Holding (#44 N.Kurisky) 10 yards from DUKE40 to DUKE30. NO PLAY

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

(01:50) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #8 J.Moore caught at DUKE35, for 7 yards to the DUKE37 (#10 P.Seelmann)

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

(01:07) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the DUKE41 (#1 G.Smith III; #8 J.Agumadu)

4th & 2Punt Return+3 yds

(00:22) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 47 yards to the UNC12 #2 T.Kekahuna return 3 yards to the UNC15 (#8 D.Stone)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

(00:12) Shotgun #0 D.June rush left for 0 yards to the UNC15 (#10 T.Reed)

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.30

(15:00) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNC09 (#95 P.Watson)

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

(14:23) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Shipp thrown to UNC06 QB hurried by #42 K.Johnson

4th & 16Punt Return+15 yds

(14:21) #92 A.Burrell punt 42 yards to the DUKE49 #35 A.Pellicciotta return 15 yards to the UNC36 (#10 P.Seelmann)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(14:10) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #4 J.Solomon caught at UNC27, for 15 yards to the UNC21 (#21 K.Dopson III), out of bounds PENALTY DUKE Pass Interference (#5 J.Nicholas) 10 yards from UNC36 to UNC46. NO PLAY

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

(13:49) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #5 J.Nicholas caught at UNC45, for 1 yard to the UNC45 (#21 K.Dopson III)

2nd & 19Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.94

(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #17 J.Richardson caught at UNC30, for 23 yards to the UNC22 (#10 P.Seelmann; #21 K.Dopson III), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

(12:22) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 5 yards gain to the UNC17 (#15 D.McDonald)

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

(11:52) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNC13, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (11:52) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

(11:05) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC08 (#91 L.Jackson; #11 J.Harvey), 1ST DOWN

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

(10:24) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC06 (#11 J.Harvey; #16 C.Bryson)

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

(09:37) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #17 J.Richardson thrown to UNC00 QB hurried by #9 M.Abou Jaoude

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

(09:31) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNC04 (#15 D.McDonald; #91 L.Jackson)

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

(08:50) #25 G.Strange field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #52 J.Fitzgerald), clock 08:47

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

(08:47) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC30, End Of Play PENALTY DUKE UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#35 A.Pellicciotta) 15 yards from UNC30 to UNC45, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

(08:28) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to UNC45 QB hurried by #12 B.Davis and #55 J.Columbus

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

(08:25) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short left to #45 J.Thurman thrown to DUKE46

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

(08:22) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the UNC50 (#10 T.Reed)

4th & 5Rush-16 ydsPPA -4.76

(07:48) #91 A.McCann-Gibbs rush right for 16 yards loss to the UNC34 (#10 T.Reed), TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.30

(07:43) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #20 N.Sheppard caught at UNC36, for 13 yards to the UNC21 (#10 P.Seelmann), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

(07:03) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNC19 (#11 J.Harvey; #1 G.Smith III)

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.52

(06:19) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #85 J.Hasley caught at UNC15, for 11 yards to the UNC08 (#11 J.Harvey; #15 D.McDonald), 1ST DOWN

1st & 8Penalty+5 yds

(05:56) PENALTY DUKE False Start (#6 J.Burton) 5 yards from UNC08 to UNC13. NO PLAY

1st & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #20 N.Sheppard caught at UNC19, for 6 yards to the UNC07 (#15 D.McDonald; #10 P.Seelmann)

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

(04:44) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #20 N.Sheppard caught at UNC09, for 7 yards to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:39 PENALTY UNC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#91 L.Jackson) 15 yards from UNC00 to UNC03, 1ST DOWN #25 G.Strange kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #52 J.Fitzgerald)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

(04:34) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC28 (#7 N.Morris Jr.)

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

(03:55) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Shipp thrown to UNC43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short right to #17 N.Helton thrown to UNC32

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.35

(03:48) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #45 J.Thurman caught at UNC40, for 12 yards to the UNC40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

(03:25) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush middle for 16 yards gain to the DUKE44 (#1 K.Loud), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

(03:04) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush middle for 4 yards gain to the DUKE40 (#7 N.Morris Jr.; #18 K.Smith)

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.84

(02:23) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #2 T.Kekahuna caught at DUKE31, for 16 yards to the DUKE24 (#5 K.Robinson; #9 C.Ojarikre), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

(02:00) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush left for 24 yards gain to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:53, 1ST DOWN #90 R.Verhoff kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

(01:52) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 8 yards gain to the DUKE33 (#10 P.Seelmann; #1 G.Smith III)

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUKE34 (#96 N.Maggio)

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the DUKE38 (#91 L.Jackson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass intercepted by #21 K.Dopson III at UNC30 #21 K.Dopson III return for loss of 8 yards to the UNC22 (#8 J.Moore) PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (#21 K.Dopson III) 15 yards from DUKE38 to UNC47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

(00:57) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short middle to #20 N.Sheppard caught at UNC44, for 9 yards to the UNC38 (#10 P.Seelmann)

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Solomon thrown to UNC27

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

(00:33) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNC30 (#21 K.Dopson III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.77

(00:28) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short middle thrown to UNC30 QB hurried by #90 X.Lewis and #10 P.Seelmann PENALTY DUKE Intentional Grounding (#2 W.Eget)

2nd & 24Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

(00:24) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short middle to #8 J.Moore caught at UNC34, for 10 yards to the UNC34 (#8 J.Agumadu; #16 C.Bryson)

3rd & 14Interception0 ydsPPA -2.42

(00:19) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass intercepted by #21 K.Dopson III at UNC15 QB hurried by #90 X.Lewis, End Of Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

(00:13) Kneel down by #9 B.Edwards Jr. at UNC14 for loss of 1 yard

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
—
—
44%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
71%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
—
—

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
—
0%
1 play
43%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
—
—
—