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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2026 • Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 2.8

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 41%

Market (Bovada)

Mississippi State -6

Edge: Missouri +6 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2026

Line Movement

+3.7+1.1-1.6-4.2-6.9Sep 20Sep 21Sep 24Sep 25Model +2.8

Hover a snapshot for details

BovadaDraftKings

O/U 57.5 → 58.5

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
01014024
Mississippi StateMississippi State
14031431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-314-1014-1717-1717-2424-2431-24
Mississippi StateMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISPUNT5p·8ydDOWNS9p·43ydTD3p·63ydMISS14p·41ydTD8p·66ydPUNT6p·33ydPUNT3p·1ydFG6p·35ydTO2p·0ydTD4p·27ydPUNT8p·31ydPUNT6p·12ydDOWNS8p·56ydTD7p·43ydFG15p·65ydTD5p·75ydPUNT5p·16ydPUNT4p·8ydTD14p·73ydPUNT3p·6ydTD5p·85ydDOWNS8p·55ydPUNT3p·6ydEND5p·15yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Mississippi State
StatisticMissouriMississippi State
Passing23-4027-38
Pass Yards295360
Rush Yards119139
Total Yards414499
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-166-14
Penalties8-918-84
Possession31:3628:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Austin Simmons
23/39, 295 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jamal Roberts
26 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
Cayden Lee
11 REC, 156 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Kamario Taylor
27/38, 360 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Fluff Bothwell
25 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Evans III
8 REC, 114 YDS
defense
Jardin Gilbert
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #13 S.Magee caught at State32, for 9 yards to the State34 (#2 S.Laulea)

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor rush right for 2 yards gain to the State36 (#5 N.Rodriguez), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush right for 0 yards to the State36 (#2 S.Laulea; #5 N.Rodriguez)

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.86

(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor sacked for loss of 3 yards to the State33 (#10 D.Hopkins)

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete short middle to #87 S.West thrown to State34 PENALTY State Holding declined

4th & 13Punt0 yds

(13:28) #8 E.Pulliam punt 47 yards to the Mizzou20 fair catch by #3 D.Fowlkes at Mizzou20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

(13:22) Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Mizzou24 (#42 D.Reed; #9 J.Bledsoe)

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

(12:53) No Huddle #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short left to #87 B.Norfleet thrown to Mizzou24 broken up by #4 A.Williams QB hurried by #10 J.Smith

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.75

(12:49) Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #4 S.Terry II caught at Mizzou35, for 11 yards to the Mizzou35 (#20 J.Jefferson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou36 (#42 D.Reed; #10 J.Smith)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.72

(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short middle to #1 D.Olugbode caught at Mizzou48, for 21 yards to the State43 (#1 K.Jones; #15 M.Williams), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to State29 broken up by #20 J.Jefferson

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

(10:51) No Huddle #20 J.Roberts rush right for 3 yards gain to the State40 (#5 J.Gilbert) PENALTY Mizzou Holding (#51 L.Work) 10 yards from State43 to Mizzou47. NO PLAY

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep middle to #2 C.Goodie Sr. thrown to State30 QB hurried by #10 J.Smith

3rd & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.05

(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short middle to #20 J.Roberts caught at Mizzou45, for 17 yards to the State36 (#7 Z.Tillman; #4 A.Williams)

4th & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -4.11

(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons sacked for loss of 1 yard to the State37 (#15 M.Williams), TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

(09:54) Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #7 Z.Ragins caught at State39, for 2 yards to the State39 (#2 S.Laulea; #5 N.Rodriguez)

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.35

(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 18 yards gain to the Mizzou43 (#22 E.Dotson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete deep right to #13 S.Magee caught at Mizzou00, for 43 yards to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:56, 1ST DOWN #80 K.Ferrie kick attempt good (H: #47 W.Wilkinson, LS: #46 K.Rushing)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #0 N.Montgomery caught at Mizzou30, for 7 yards to the Mizzou32 (#20 J.Jefferson)

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Mizzou37 (#42 D.Reed; #4 A.Williams), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep middle to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to State30 broken up by #1 K.Jones

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou38 (#4 A.Williams; #10 J.Smith) PENALTY State Personal Foul (#10 J.Smith) 15 yards from Mizzou38 to State47, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep right to #0 N.Montgomery thrown to State10 broken up by #20 J.Jefferson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 0 yards to the State47 (#10 J.Smith; #11 T.Lockhart)

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.67

(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #19 C.Lee caught at State38, for 10 yards to the State37 (#15 M.Williams), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 X.Edwards rush middle for 5 yards gain to the State32 (#35 K.Dinkins; #93 E.Kelly Jr.)

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #19 C.Lee caught at State28, for 4 yards to the State28 (#1 K.Jones)

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.32

(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 X.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards gain to the State26 (#13 L.James; #93 E.Kelly Jr.), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short right to #87 B.Norfleet thrown to State08 broken up by #15 M.Williams

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 1 yard loss to the State27 (#4 A.Williams; #42 D.Reed)

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.78

(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons sacked for loss of 7 yards to the State34 (#9 J.Bledsoe, #11 T.Lockhart)

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+52 yds

(03:11) #19 B.Craig field goal attempt from 52 yards NO GOOD (H: #40 B.Reus, LS: #49 B.Le Blanc), clock 03:07

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

(03:07) Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 1 yard gain to the State35 (#11 L.Kitchen)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.14

(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short middle to #24 F.Bothwell caught at State37, for 13 yards to the State48 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #9 D.McClellan), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush left for 0 yards to the State48 (#11 L.Kitchen)

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.96

(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Mizzou40 (#7 K.Louidor-Faustin; #0 R.Woodyard Jr.), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.51

(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short middle to #2 M.Johnson caught at Mizzou28, for 16 yards to the Mizzou24 (#22 E.Dotson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.16

(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Mizzou11 (#52 D.Johnson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete short right to #2 M.Johnson thrown to Mizzou00

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.81

(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short middle to #24 F.Bothwell caught at Mizzou01, for 11 yards to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24, 1ST DOWN #80 K.Ferrie kick attempt good (H: #47 W.Wilkinson, LS: #46 K.Rushing)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 7 yards gain to the Mizzou32 (#5 J.Gilbert)

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Mizzou35 (#5 J.Gilbert; #35 K.Dinkins), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #1 D.Olugbode caught at State49, for 16 yards to the State49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to State28 broken up by #1 K.Jones

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 7 yards gain to the State42 (#7 Z.Tillman; #3 K.Dolby)

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short right to #87 B.Norfleet thrown to State40 broken up by #4 A.Williams

4th & 3Punt0 yds

(13:05) #40 B.Reus punt 40 yards to the State02

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the State06 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #5 N.Rodriguez)

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.23

(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short left to #3 A.Evans III caught at State03, for 0 yards to the State06 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #15 S.Banner)

3rd & 6Penalty+3 yds

(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #24 F.Bothwell caught at State11, for 19 yards to the State25 (#4 T.Greco; #21 J.Florence) PENALTY State Pass Interference (#3 A.Evans III) 3 yards from State06 to State03. NO PLAY

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete short right to #24 F.Bothwell thrown to State00 QB hurried by #8 D.Simpson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

(11:18) #8 E.Pulliam punt 48 yards to the Mizzou49, out of bounds at Mizzou49

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.87

(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 14 yards gain to the State37 (#11 T.Lockhart), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 6 yards gain to the State31 (#97 J.Jenkins; #28 T.Johnson) PENALTY State Personal Foul (#42 D.Reed) 15 yards from State31 to State16, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 7 yards gain to the State09 (#3 K.Dolby; #10 J.Smith)

2nd & 3Penalty+10 yds

(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 1 yard gain to the State08 (#11 T.Lockhart; #9 J.Bledsoe) PENALTY Mizzou Holding (#77 C.Peagler) 10 yards from State09 to State19. NO PLAY

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

(09:18) Shotgun #24 X.Edwards rush middle for 5 yards gain to the State14 (#21 D.Riley; #3 K.Dolby)

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.79

(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 X.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards loss to the State16 (#9 J.Bledsoe)

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

(08:00) #19 B.Craig field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #40 B.Reus, LS: #49 B.Le Blanc), clock 07:59

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete deep right to #3 A.Evans III thrown to Mizzou37 broken up by #21 J.Florence

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+18 ydsPPA -4.48

(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass intercepted by #4 T.Greco at State45 #4 T.Greco return 18 yards to the State27 (#54 B.Steen)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.69

(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #20 J.Roberts caught at State11, for 21 yards to the State06 (#10 J.Smith), 1ST DOWN

1st & 6Penalty+10 yds

(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 5 yards gain to the State01 (#20 J.Jefferson) PENALTY Mizzou Holding (#77 C.Peagler) 10 yards from State06 to State16. NO PLAY

1st & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #87 B.Norfleet caught at State15, for 6 yards to the State10 (#11 T.Lockhart; #15 M.Williams)

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 1 yard gain to the State09 (#3 K.Dolby; #1 K.Jones)

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

(06:13) Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short middle to #1 D.Olugbode caught at State01, for 9 yards to the State00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:09 #19 B.Craig kick attempt good (H: #40 B.Reus, LS: #49 B.Le Blanc)

0th & 0Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY Mizzou UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#1 D.Olugbode) 15 yards from Mizzou35 to Mizzou20. NO PLAY

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete short middle to #87 S.West thrown to State32 broken up by #15 S.Banner

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the State30 (#22 E.Dotson; #55 C.Tuley)

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor sacked for loss of 4 yards to the State26 (#12 M.Bryant, #8 D.Simpson) PENALTY Mizzou Holding (#21 J.Florence) 10 yards from State30 to State40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete deep left to #3 A.Evans III thrown to Mizzou33 broken up by #21 J.Florence

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 5 yards gain to the State45 (#7 K.Louidor-Faustin; #13 J.Jones)

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.57

(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #24 F.Bothwell caught at State45, for 14 yards to the Mizzou41 (#1 C.Graves Jr.; #7 K.Louidor-Faustin), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush left for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou40 (#7 K.Louidor-Faustin; #95 J.Marshall) PENALTY State Personal Foul (#78 D.Chester) 14 yards from Mizzou40 to State46

2nd & 23Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.24

(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short left to #7 Z.Ragins caught at Mizzou49, for 12 yards to the Mizzou42 (#2 S.Laulea; #7 K.Louidor-Faustin)

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete short left to #7 Z.Ragins thrown to Mizzou36

4th & 11Punt0 yds

(03:12) #8 E.Pulliam punt 42 yards to the Mizzou00, Touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 X.Edwards rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Mizzou31 (#1 K.Jones), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 X.Edwards rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Mizzou34 (#3 K.Dolby; #4 A.Williams)

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #1 D.Olugbode caught at Mizzou38, for 8 yards to the Mizzou42 (#1 K.Jones), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush left for 0 yards to the Mizzou42 (#5 J.Gilbert)

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short middle to #0 N.Montgomery thrown to State42 broken up by #20 J.Jefferson. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELD

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #4 S.Terry II caught at Mizzou44, for 5 yards to the Mizzou47 (#7 Z.Tillman; #10 J.Smith)

4th & 5Punt0 yds

(01:31) #40 B.Reus punt 53 yards to the State00, Touchback PENALTY Mizzou Personal Foul (#6 J.Beasley) 15 yards from State20 to State35, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor rush right for 12 yards gain to the State47 (#12 M.Bryant), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short left to #2 M.Johnson caught at State50, for 5 yards to the Mizzou48 (#7 K.Louidor-Faustin)

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.09

(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Mizzou33 (#2 S.Laulea; #9 D.McClellan), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.48

(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short middle to #2 M.Johnson caught at Mizzou15, for 24 yards to the Mizzou09 (#2 S.Laulea; #7 K.Louidor-Faustin), 1ST DOWN

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Mizzou07 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #5 N.Rodriguez)

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 0 yards to the Mizzou07 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #7 K.Louidor-Faustin)

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.52

(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor sacked for loss of 2 yards to the Mizzou09 (#10 D.Hopkins)

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.78

(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete short middle to #13 S.Magee thrown to Mizzou00 broken up by #21 J.Florence, TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 1 yard gain to the State42 (#42 D.Reed)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.29

(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short middle to #87 B.Norfleet caught at State36, for 13 yards to the State29 (#5 J.Gilbert), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush left for 3 yards gain to the State26 (#5 J.Gilbert; #10 J.Smith)

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.76

(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #19 C.Lee caught at State27, for 1 yard loss to the State27 (#1 K.Jones)

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.11

(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #19 C.Lee caught at State22, for 8 yards to the State19 (#3 K.Dolby; #10 J.Smith), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 2 yards loss to the State21 (#5 J.Gilbert; #9 J.Bledsoe)

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.14

(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short middle to #19 C.Lee caught at State22, for 21 yards to the State00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:50, 1ST DOWN #19 B.Craig kick attempt good (H: #40 B.Reus, LS: #49 B.Le Blanc)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #24 F.Bothwell caught at State19, for 0 yards to the State25 (#15 S.Banner)

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 9 yards gain to the State34 (#21 J.Florence; #22 E.Dotson)

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the State37 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #4 T.Greco), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.65

(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush left for 4 yards loss to the State33 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #3 M.Gracial)

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Wilson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the State43 (#5 N.Rodriguez)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.71

(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #6 K.Wilson caught at State40, for 18 yards to the Mizzou39 (#4 T.Greco; #15 S.Banner), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete short right to #6 K.Wilson thrown to Mizzou45 QB hurried by #52 D.Johnson

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou38 (#5 N.Rodriguez; #92 J.Dowell) PENALTY State Holding (#50 L.Prudhomme Jr) 10 yards from Mizzou39 to Mizzou49. NO PLAY

2nd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.34

(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short left to #3 A.Evans III caught at Mizzou34, for 16 yards to the Mizzou33 (#7 K.Louidor-Faustin)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #24 F.Bothwell caught at Mizzou34, for 6 yards to the Mizzou27 (#2 S.Laulea; #7 K.Louidor-Faustin), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #3 A.Evans III caught at Mizzou28, for 9 yards to the Mizzou18 (#9 D.McClellan)

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.46

(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Mizzou13 (#22 E.Dotson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 0 yards to the Mizzou13 (#55 C.Tuley)

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

(05:55) Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #6 K.Wilson caught at Mizzou13, for 3 yards to the Mizzou10 (#5 N.Rodriguez; #2 S.Laulea)

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the Mizzou10 (#92 J.Dowell; #15 S.Banner)

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 yds

(04:40) #80 K.Ferrie field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #47 W.Wilkinson, LS: #46 K.Rushing), clock 04:37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Mizzou31 (#11 T.Lockhart)

2nd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.20

(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #19 C.Lee caught at Mizzou50, for 23 yards to the State46 (#21 D.Riley), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY State Face Mask (#21 D.Riley) 15 yards from State46 to State31, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 3 yards gain to the State28 (#11 T.Lockhart; #4 A.Williams)

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Olugbode pass incomplete short right thrown to State17 QB hurried by #3 K.Dolby

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.68

(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete deep right to #19 C.Lee caught at State02, for 28 yards to the State00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:53, 1ST DOWN #19 B.Craig kick attempt good (H: #40 B.Reus, LS: #49 B.Le Blanc)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Evans III rush right for 5 yards loss to the State20 (#15 S.Banner)

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #2 M.Johnson caught at State30, for 15 yards to the State35 (#1 C.Graves Jr.), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Mizzou Offside declined

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 5 yards gain to the State40 (#15 S.Banner; #9 D.McClellan)

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.63

(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor sacked for loss of 7 yards to the State33 (#29 K.Morgan, #10 D.Hopkins)

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #87 S.West caught at State39, for 8 yards to the State41 (#15 S.Banner)

4th & 4Punt0 yds

(00:35) #8 E.Pulliam punt 59 yards to the Mizzou00, Touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 11 yards gain to the Mizzou31 (#5 J.Gilbert), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 0 yards to the Mizzou31 (#10 J.Smith; #4 A.Williams) PENALTY Mizzou Holding (#70 C.Green) 10 yards from Mizzou31 to Mizzou21. NO PLAY

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short right to #3 D.Fowlkes thrown to Mizzou25 broken up by #20 J.Jefferson

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Mizzou24 (#3 K.Dolby)

3rd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Mizzou28 (#11 T.Lockhart)

4th & 13Punt0 yds

(13:03) #40 B.Reus punt 45 yards to the State27 fair catch by #3 A.Evans III at State27

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.09

(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short right to #3 A.Evans III caught at State41, for 23 yards to the State50 (#5 N.Rodriguez; #0 R.Woodyard Jr.), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Mizzou41 (#5 N.Rodriguez)

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete deep middle to #3 A.Evans III thrown to Mizzou12

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Mizzou37 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.34

(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor sacked for loss of 3 yards to the Mizzou40 (#10 D.Hopkins)

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Mizzou36 (#90 S.Webb; #92 J.Dowell)

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short middle to #24 F.Bothwell caught at Mizzou34, for 11 yards to the Mizzou25 (#9 D.McClellan; #4 T.Greco), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY State False Start (#78 D.Chester) 5 yards from Mizzou25 to Mizzou30. NO PLAY

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short middle to #87 S.West caught at Mizzou18, for 12 yards to the Mizzou18 (#4 T.Greco; #15 S.Banner)

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.18

(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short left to #3 A.Evans III caught at Mizzou20, for 4 yards to the Mizzou14 (#9 D.McClellan), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short left to #3 A.Evans III caught at Mizzou16, for 3 yards to the Mizzou11 (#1 C.Graves Jr.)

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 0 yards to the Mizzou11 (#92 J.Dowell; #95 J.Marshall)

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush left for 6 yards gain to the Mizzou05 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.)

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.17

(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou04 (#5 N.Rodriguez; #92 J.Dowell), 1ST DOWN

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:09 #80 K.Ferrie kick attempt good (H: #47 W.Wilkinson, LS: #46 K.Rushing)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

(07:09) Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #19 C.Lee caught at Mizzou25, for 5 yards to the Mizzou30 (#11 T.Lockhart)

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush left for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou31 (#42 D.Reed; #1 K.Jones)

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

(05:57) Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Olugbode thrown to Mizzou30 broken up by #20 J.Jefferson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

(05:52) #40 B.Reus punt 54 yards to the State15

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass incomplete short right to #87 S.West thrown to State24 QB hurried by #90 S.Webb PENALTY State Holding (#78 D.Chester) 7 yards from State15 to State08. NO PLAY

1st & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.50

(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete short left to #3 A.Evans III caught at State13, for 11 yards to the State19 (#7 K.Louidor-Faustin)

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 F.Bothwell rush middle for 7 yards gain to the State26 (#7 K.Louidor-Faustin; #5 N.Rodriguez), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 yds

(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete deep left to #3 A.Evans III caught at Mizzou28, for 48 yards to the Mizzou26, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Wilson rush right for 2 yards gain to the Mizzou24 (#5 N.Rodriguez; #0 R.Woodyard Jr.)

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.53

(03:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor pass complete deep right to #13 S.Magee caught at Mizzou00, for 24 yards to the Mizzou00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:57, 1ST DOWN #80 K.Ferrie kick attempt good (H: #47 W.Wilkinson, LS: #46 K.Rushing)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Mizzou42 (#11 T.Lockhart; #5 J.Gilbert)

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep right to #0 N.Montgomery thrown to State35 broken up by #5 J.Gilbert

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Mizzou45 (#3 K.Dolby; #42 D.Reed), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.68

(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete deep middle to #19 C.Lee caught at State30, for 37 yards to the State18 (#15 M.Williams), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush right for 3 yards gain to the State15 (#4 A.Williams; #5 J.Gilbert)

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Roberts rush middle for 4 yards gain to the State11 (#20 J.Jefferson; #9 J.Bledsoe)

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short left to #19 C.Lee thrown to State00 broken up by #1 K.Jones

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.11

(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short left to #19 C.Lee thrown to State07 broken up by #43 W.Whitson, TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Wilson rush middle for 0 yards to the State11 (#95 J.Marshall; #5 N.Rodriguez)

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Wilson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the State14 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #15 S.Banner)

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the State17 (#0 R.Woodyard Jr.; #3 M.Gracial)

4th & 4Punt0 yds

(00:56) #8 E.Pulliam punt 36 yards to the Mizzou47, out of bounds at Mizzou47

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #4 S.Terry II caught at State50, for 5 yards to the State48 (#20 J.Jefferson)

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short left to #19 C.Lee caught at State35, for 13 yards to the State35 (#1 K.Jones), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons rush left for 5 yards gain to the State30 (#4 A.Williams; #5 J.Gilbert) PENALTY Mizzou Holding 11 yard from State35 to State46. NO PLAY

1st & 21Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass complete short right to #19 C.Lee caught at State40, for 8 yards to the State38 (#15 M.Williams)

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete short left to #20 J.Roberts thrown to State25 broken up by #42 D.Reed

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Simmons pass incomplete deep left to #0 N.Montgomery thrown to State00 broken up by #1 K.Jones

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
—
—
52%
29 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
—
—
—

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
—
100%
1 play
37%
30 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
43%
14 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
—
0%
1 play
—